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created 14 October 2026 · last modified 14 October 2026
International Relations · policy

Rules-Based Order

The treaty infrastructure, multilateral institutions, and shared norms that make state commitments credible — not what states are permitted to do, but the conditions under which their commitments mean anything.

Trust Tiers / Vector Identity
Measurement gap
What gets measured now

Treaty ratification counts, WTO dispute settlement outcomes, UN Security Council resolution votes, sanctions compliance rates, and bilateral trade agreement text — all of which measure what states are permitted to do, not whether the conditions for credible state commitment in digital domains exist.

What's missing

The degree to which the substrate conditions for trustworthy cross-border digital commitments are in place: mutual recognition frameworks for digital identity, interoperable provenance standards for AI-generated content, binding transparency obligations on state-sponsored algorithmic influence operations, and enforcement mechanisms with sufficient teeth to make defection more costly than compliance.

The reform ask
Establish a standing multilateral technical body with binding arbitration power to audit and certify national AI governance frameworks against a published substrate standard, conditioning market access and data-transfer agreements on certification status.
Stakes
Who wins

Democracies with robust domestic AI governance frameworks seeking enforceable reciprocity; smaller states currently unable to negotiate bilateral data agreements on equal terms; multinational enterprises requiring legal certainty across jurisdictions; and civil society coalitions pushing for global baseline protections.

Who resists

States that exploit the absence of binding digital norms — including those using algorithmic influence operations as instruments of foreign policy; platform companies that benefit from regulatory arbitrage; and domestic industries in strong-governance countries facing unlevel competition from imports produced under no-substrate conditions.

For policy readers

Condition bilateral data transfer agreements and AI market access on demonstrated substrate equivalency — verified by an independent multilateral technical body — establishing a trust-tier architecture for international digital commitments analogous to mutual recognition agreements in financial regulation.

What you can do
Submit to OECD AI Policy Observatory public consultations

The OECD AI Policy Observatory runs recurring public consultations on AI governance frameworks that directly inform G20 and G7 commitments. Submissions from civil society and technical experts are publicly indexed at oecd.ai/en/consultations.

Engage your country's delegation to the UN Internet Governance Forum

The IGF's Dynamic Coalition on AI Governance (DC-AI) accepts open participation and produces policy recommendations that feed into General Assembly resolutions. Contact your national IGF coordinator to join at intgovforum.org.

File comments in EU AI Act third-country equivalency proceedings

The European AI Office is developing adequacy frameworks for third-country AI governance systems. Non-EU civil society organizations may submit comments through the EU's Have Your Say portal during consultations on implementing acts.

Engage the State Department's Bureau of Cyberspace and Digital Policy

The Bureau manages U.S. positions in bilateral and multilateral digital governance negotiations. Public stakeholder meetings are announced at state.gov under the Bureau of Cyberspace and Digital Policy.

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How to cite
APA 7th ed.

Perkins, C. (2026, May 6). Rules-Based Order: Substrate measurement reform in International Relations. Kinetic Trust Protocol. https://kinetic-trust-protocol.net/language/rules-based-order
Plain text

Chris Perkins, "Rules-Based Order: Substrate measurement reform in International Relations," Kinetic Trust Protocol, https://kinetic-trust-protocol.net/language/rules-based-order (accessed May 6, 2026).